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Neutral-Up: XLK leads the SPDR 11: SPY trend Normal: 1 big mover

October 2, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

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  1. 0:00Market Conditions moved from Neutral Down at 45.0 to Neutral Up at 62.5. Constructive, conditions improving
  2. 0:10Under the surface, Trend is supportive, while Breadth still needs attention. Three of the seven lights are green, so the backdrop is mixed rather than one-directional.
  3. 0:21S P Y remains above both its fifty-day and two-hundred-day averages, so the primary trend is constructive. Breadth is narrow, with four of the eleven sectors above the two-hundred-day average.
  4. 0:35Our macro economic indicator reads 69.5, which is Moderate Growth. Employment is the strongest part of it, and Inflation the weakest.
  5. 0:47Technology leads the sector table. Financials moved down 3 places, as shown by the movement column.
  6. 0:54What we're watching next. X L F (Financials) dropped 3 ranks to number 11. Watch X L K (Technology): score 69, approaching Strong threshold (70), X L U: seasonal score bullish (87/100), X L F: seasonal score bullish (76/100) for confirmation of the next rotation move.
  7. 1:18Sector Rotation Monitor is the dashboard these numbers come from. It covers global and European markets, commodities, bonds, U S industries, factors, and crypto. Built-in presets show how every group ranks today, and watchlists with configurable alerts tell you when a ranking you follow moves. It's free to try for fourteen days at sector rotation monitor dot com, so you can look at the data yourself and decide what it's worth to you. And if these briefings are useful, subscribing keeps them coming. This is general information, not personal advice.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are Neutral-Up (score 62.5/100): main risks: distribution red, credit red. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 69.5/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Technology (XLK) leads at #1 with a Stable signal and score 69.3, while Financials (XLF) trails at #11. 1 sector moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up62.5/100

Constructive: conditions improving

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Credit (red)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

48.6/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

69.5/100

Economic Regime?

Stagflation

growth -4.7 · prices +15.2 · too close to call

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
1→XLKStableLeading69
2→XLIWeakImproving48
3↑2XLCWeakLagging45
4↓1XLVWeakLagging44
5↓1XLEWeakLagging42
6→XLYWeakLagging41
7→XLPWeakLagging39
8↑2XLBWeakLagging38
9→XLUWeakLagging37
10↑1XLREWeakLagging34
11↓3XLFWeakLagging32

Notable Changes

⚡XLF (Financials) dropped 3 ranks to #11

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • ›XLK (Technology): score 69, approaching Strong threshold (70)
  • ›XLU: seasonal score bullish (87/100)
  • ›XLF: seasonal score bullish (76/100)

Action Items

The macro economic indicator favours

Sectors that have historically done well when this reading looks like it does today. That is history, not a forecast.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLI, XLC, XLE, XLY, XLB, XLRE, XLF

Want the full picture?

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