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Neutral-Down: XLE leads the SPDR 11: SPY trend Normal: 2 big movers: 2 squeeze setups building

September 1, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are **Neutral-Down** (score 57.5/100): main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 63.7/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Energy (XLE) leads at #1 with a Weak signal and score 63.1, while Industrials (XLI) trails at #11. 2 sectors moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Down57.5/100

Mixed: conditions softening

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

53/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

63.7/100

Economic Regime?

Stagflation

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
11XLEWeakWeakening63
21XLVStableLeading63
3XLBWeakImproving58
44XLKWeakLeading55
51XLCWeakImproving54
61XLPWeakImproving54
73XLFWeakLagging52
81XLREWeakImproving49
92XLYWeakLagging49
10XLUWeakLagging41
11XLIWeakLagging33

Notable Changes

XLK (Technology) climbed 4 ranks to #4
XLP in TTM Squeeze (24 bars): watch for breakout
XLF (Financials) dropped 3 ranks to #7
XLF in TTM Squeeze (8 bars): watch for breakout

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLRE, XLI

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