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Neutral-Up: XLV leads the SPDR 11: SPY trend Normal: 2 big movers: 1 squeeze setup building

August 26, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are Neutral-Up (score 62.5/100): main risks: distribution red, internals red. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 51.8/100 (SLOWDOWN) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Healthcare (XLV) leads at #1 with a Stable signal and score 69.4, while Industrials (XLI) trails at #11. 2 sectors moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up62.5/100

Constructive: conditions improving

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Internals (red)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

57.2/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

SLOWDOWN

51.8/100

Economic Regime?

Expansion

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
1→XLVStableLeading69
2↑3XLBStableLeading66
3↑1XLEStableLeading64
4↓1XLPImprovingLeading61
5↑1XLCImprovingLeading61
6↓4XLREWeakImproving60
7→XLFImprovingLeading59
8→XLYWeakImproving54
9↑1XLUWeakImproving50
10↓1XLKWeakLagging49
11→XLIWeakLagging46

Notable Changes

⚡XLB (Materials) climbed 3 ranks to #2
⚡XLP in TTM Squeeze (20 bars): watch for breakout
⚡XLRE (Real Estate) dropped 4 ranks to #6

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • ›XLV (Healthcare): score 69, approaching Strong threshold (70)
  • ›XLB (Materials): score 66, approaching Strong threshold (70)

Action Items

Sectors in favour

Sectors that have historically done well when this reading looks like it does today. That is history, not a forecast.

XLP, XLU, TLT, GLD

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLI

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