Daily Market Brief
AI-generatedAugust 3, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models
Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.
Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.
Market Conditions are Neutral-Down (score 55.0/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 66.8/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Discretionary (XLY) leads at #1 with a Weak signal and score 55.1, while Utilities (XLU) trails at #11. 4 sectors moved 3+ ranks today.
Market Conditions
Cautious — half size, defensive tilt
Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)
Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.
All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.
SPY Sentiment?
NEUTRAL
53.6/100
Macro Economic Indicator?
MODERATE GROWTH
66.8/100
Economic Regime?
Recession
| Rank | Δ | Sector | Signal | Quadrant | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑3 | XLY | Weak | Leading | 55 |
| 2 | → | XLF | Weak | Weakening | 51 |
| 3 | ↓2 | XLE | Weak | Weakening | 51 |
| 4 | ↑3 | XLI | Weak | Lagging | 51 |
| 5 | → | XLK | Weak | Improving | 50 |
| 6 | ↓3 | XLV | Weak | Weakening | 48 |
| 7 | ↑2 | XLB | Weak | Lagging | 47 |
| 8 | ↑2 | XLC | Weak | Lagging | 45 |
| 9 | ↓1 | XLRE | Weak | Lagging | 42 |
| 10 | ↓4 | XLP | Weak | Lagging | 41 |
| 11 | → | XLU | Weak | Lagging | 34 |
Sectors in favour
Sectors that have historically done well when this reading looks like it does today. That is history, not a forecast.
XLV, XLP, XLU
Caution: Persistent Weakness
Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.
XLK, XLB
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