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AI-generated

Neutral-Up — XLV leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal

July 6, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are Neutral-Up (score 67.5/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 59.9/100 (SLOWDOWN) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Healthcare (XLV) leads at #1 with a Strong signal and score 78.0, while Technology (XLK) trails at #11.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up67.5/100

Constructive — standard size

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

59.1/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

SLOWDOWN

59.9/100

Economic Regime?

Recovery

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
1→XLVStrongLeading78
2→XLFStableLeading74
3↑1XLIStableLeading65
4↓1XLUImprovingLeading59
5→XLREWeakImproving58
6→XLPWeakImproving56
7↑1XLBImprovingLeading55
8↓1XLYWeakImproving55
9→XLCWeakImproving53
10↑1XLEWeakImproving45
11↓1XLKWeakLagging44

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • ›XLV — seasonal score bullish (88/100)
  • ›XLF — seasonal score bullish (89/100)
  • ›XLI — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
  • ›XLU — seasonal score bullish (86/100)
  • ›XLRE — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
  • ›XLP — seasonal score bullish (84/100)
  • ›XLB — seasonal score bullish (76/100)
  • ›XLY — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
  • ›XLC — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
  • ›XLK — seasonal score bullish (92/100)

Action Items

Sectors in favour

Sectors that have historically done well when this reading looks like it does today. That is history, not a forecast.

XLP, XLU, TLT, GLD

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLC, XLE

Want the full picture?

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