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AI-generated

Neutral-Up — XLI leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal

June 17, 2026 · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Educational commentary — not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are **Neutral-Up** (score 67.5/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 66.0/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Industrials (XLI) leads at #1 with a Stable signal and score 72.6, while Energy (XLE) trails at #11.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up67.5/100

Constructive — standard size

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

50.8/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

66/100

Economic Regime?

Expansion

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
11XLIStableLeading73
21XLFStableLeading72
32XLBImprovingLeading70
41XLVStableLeading69
51XLREWeakImproving66
6XLPWeakImproving64
7XLUWeakImproving63
8XLYWeakImproving59
9XLCWeakImproving48
10XLKWeakWeakening48
11XLEWeakLagging29

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • XLV (Healthcare) — score 69, approaching Strong threshold (70)
  • XLV — seasonal score bullish (73/100)

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution — Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLY, XLC, XLE

Want the full picture?

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