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Neutral-Up — XLF leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal — 1 big mover

June 16, 2026 · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Educational commentary — not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are **Neutral-Up** (score 67.5/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 65.2/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Financials (XLF) leads at #1 with a Stable signal and score 71.5, while Energy (XLE) trails at #11. 1 sector moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up67.5/100

Constructive — standard size

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

48.6/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

65.2/100

Economic Regime?

Recovery

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
13XLFStableLeading72
2XLIImprovingLeading71
32XLVStrongLeading71
41XLREWeakImproving70
5XLBStableLeading69
6XLPWeakImproving68
7XLUWeakImproving63
8XLYWeakImproving62
91XLCWeakImproving54
101XLKWeakWeakening47
11XLEWeakLagging40

Notable Changes

XLF (Financials) climbed 3 ranks to #1

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • XLV — seasonal score bullish (73/100)
  • XLB (Materials) — score 69, approaching Strong threshold (70)

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution — Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLC, XLE

Want the full picture?

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