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Neutral-Up — XLK leads the SPDR 11 — regime bullish — 4 big movers — 4 squeeze setups building

May 29, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Weather reads Neutral-Up (score 60.0/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying regime is NORMAL with MEI at 45.9/100 (SLOWDOWN) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Technology (XLK) leads at #1 with a Stable signal and score 73.1, while Staples (XLP) trails at #11. 4 sectors moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up60/100

Constructive — standard size

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

59.2/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

SLOWDOWN

45.9/100

Economic Regime?

Stagflation

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
1→XLKStableLeading73
2→XLVWeakImproving60
3→XLYWeakImproving59
4↑5XLFWeakImproving52
5→XLREWeakImproving52
6→XLIWeakImproving49
7↑1XLUWeakImproving48
8↑3XLBWeakImproving48
9↓5XLEWeakImproving48
10→XLCWeakLagging46
11↓4XLPWeakLagging44

Notable Changes

⚡XLF (Financials) climbed 5 ranks to #4
⚡XLF in TTM Squeeze (18 bars) — watch for breakout
⚡XLRE in TTM Squeeze (12 bars) — watch for breakout
⚡XLI in TTM Squeeze (19 bars) — watch for breakout
⚡XLB (Materials) climbed 3 ranks to #8
⚡XLE (Energy) dropped 5 ranks to #9
⚡XLC in TTM Squeeze (10 bars) — watch for breakout
⚡XLP (Staples) dropped 4 ranks to #11

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • ›XLK — seasonal score bullish (77/100)
  • ›XLC — seasonal score bullish (80/100)

Action Items

Sectors in favour

Sectors that have historically done well when this reading looks like it does today. That is history, not a forecast.

XLP, XLU, TLT, GLD

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLF, XLB, XLC

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