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Neutral-Up — XLK leads the SPDR 11 — regime bullish — 4 big movers — 4 squeeze setups building

May 29, 2026 · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Market Weather reads **Neutral-Up** (score 60.0/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying regime is NORMAL with MEI at 45.9/100 (SLOWDOWN) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Technology (XLK) leads at #1 with a Stable signal and score 73.1, while Staples (XLP) trails at #11. 4 sectors moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up60/100

Constructive — standard size

Confidence: 100%

Risk/trade ≤ 0.75%

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

59.2/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

SLOWDOWN

45.9/100

Economic Regime?

Stagflation

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
1XLKStableLeading73
2XLVWeakImproving60
3XLYWeakImproving59
45XLFWeakImproving52
5XLREWeakImproving52
6XLIWeakImproving49
71XLUWeakImproving48
83XLBWeakImproving48
95XLEWeakImproving48
10XLCWeakLagging46
114XLPWeakLagging44

Notable Changes

XLF (Financials) climbed 5 ranks to #4
XLF in TTM Squeeze (18 bars) — watch for breakout
XLRE in TTM Squeeze (12 bars) — watch for breakout
XLI in TTM Squeeze (19 bars) — watch for breakout
XLB (Materials) climbed 3 ranks to #8
XLE (Energy) dropped 5 ranks to #9
XLC in TTM Squeeze (10 bars) — watch for breakout
XLP (Staples) dropped 4 ranks to #11

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • XLK — seasonal score bullish (77/100)
  • XLC — seasonal score bullish (80/100)

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLP, XLU, TLT, GLD

Caution — Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLF, XLB, XLC

Want the full picture?

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