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☀️ Favorable — XLK leads the SPDR 11 — regime bullish — 5 big movers

May 7, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Weather reads Favorable (score 87.5/100) — main risks: distribution amber, volatility amber. Underlying regime is NORMAL with MEI at 64.1/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Technology (XLK) leads at #1 with a Neutral signal and score 76.8, while Energy (XLE) trails at #11. 5 sectors moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Favorable87.5/100

Clear skies — full size

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (amber) • Volatility (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

52.5/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

64.1/100

Economic Regime?

Stagflation

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
1→XLKStableLeading77
2↑5XLYWeakLagging50
3→XLREWeakLagging49
4→XLPWeakLagging46
5↓3XLIWeakLagging45
6↑3XLCWeakLagging43
7↓2XLBWeakLagging41
8↑2XLFWeakLagging39
9↑2XLVWeakLagging37
10↓4XLUWeakLagging33
11↓3XLEWeakLagging32

Notable Changes

⚡XLY (Discretionary) climbed 5 ranks to #2
⚡XLI (Industrials) dropped 3 ranks to #5
⚡XLC (Communications) climbed 3 ranks to #6
⚡XLU (Utilities) dropped 4 ranks to #10
⚡XLE (Energy) dropped 3 ranks to #11

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • ›XLK — seasonal score bullish (77/100)
  • ›XLC — seasonal score bullish (80/100)

Action Items

Sectors in favour

Sectors that have historically done well when this reading looks like it does today. That is history, not a forecast.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLE

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