XLK leads the SPDR 11 — regime bullish

April 21, 2026 at 11:53 AM UTC · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Market regime is NORMAL with MEI at 62.8/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Technology (XLK) leads at #1 with a HOLD signal and score 72.1, while Healthcare (XLV) trails at #11.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

Market Regime?

NORMAL

Market Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

48.2/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

62.8/100

Economic Regime?

Expansion

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

Rank	Δ	Sector	Signal	Quadrant	Score
1	→	XLKTechnology	HOLD	Leading	72
2	→	XLYDiscretionary	WAIT	Leading	59
3	→	XLREReal Estate	WAIT	Weakening	51
4	→	XLIIndustrials	WAIT	Lagging	47
5	→	XLCCommunications	WAIT	Lagging	45
6	→	XLFFinancials	WAIT	Lagging	45
7	→	XLBMaterials	WAIT	Lagging	43
8	→	XLEEnergy	WAIT	Lagging	33
9	→	XLUUtilities	WAIT	Lagging	32
10	→	XLPStaples	WAIT	Lagging	26
11	→	XLVHealthcare	WAIT	Lagging	25

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

›XLU — seasonal score bullish (88/100)
›XLP — seasonal score bullish (79/100)

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution — Bearish Signal

Sectors with a SHORT signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend).

XLE, XLU, XLP, XLV

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